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Pew midterm poll: Catholics prefer Democratic House candidates by 3-point margin

October 13, 2026 · 1 min read

A survey by Pew Research Center found that Catholic registered voters prefer Democratic candidates over Republicans in the upcoming U.S. House of Representative races by a narrow margin.

With the midterms approaching on Nov. 3, the survey found Catholics favoring Democrats by 3 percentage points. Pew polled 5,062 adults, which included 3,917 registered voters from Sept. 28 to Oct. 4 for its American Trends Panel. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.6 percentage points.

The survey found that Catholics favor Democratic House candidates by a narrow margin, 42% to 39%, though white Catholics and Hispanic Catholics differ significantly in their political preferences.

Among white Catholics, 50% said they plan to vote Republican and 32% Democratic, while 59% of Hispanic Catholics said they plan to vote Democratic and 19% Republican.

Catholic voter approval of Trump falls to 30% The poll shows President Donald Trump’s approval rating plummeting among Catholics since he began his second term, with 30% approving of how he has handled his job as president and 67% disapproving. In January 2025, his approval was about 47% among Catholics.

About 18% of Hispanic…

Source: Catholic News Agency  ·  Read the full story →
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Илья Андреев
Interestingly, among white Catholics there are twice as many Republicans as Democrats, while the opposite is true among Latinos. The numbers 50 to 32 and 59 to 19 directly show how the ethnic factor works. But the overall approval of Trump among Catholics has dropped to 30% - this is already serious, I wonder why exactly.
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